Friday 22 March 2013

Backtesting 2013 - Mar 22, 2012 Entry

On Mar 22, 2013 the market was slightly up and Average IV was 14.3% at the time of entry around 10:30am.

Trade entry:



Adjustments:

  • Apr 3 - Sold 10 x 920 to reduce + DELTA under tent
  • Apr 9 - Sold 5 x 930 to protect t+0 upside risk
  • Apr 10 - Sold 5 940 to reduce - DELTA and protect t+0 upside risk
  • *NEW adjustment* - Discarding below adjustments, I did the below adjustments to see if I could minimize my drawdown, but in fact I made it worse. I've traded this position twice now and I can't pull it out of a greater than Max Loss situation, therefore I've realized that if I have a drawdown that is greater than my Max Loss (-$2500) around -$3500, its better to just close the trade. 
  • Apr 15 - Exit trade for above MAX Loss - $3465
  • Apr 15 - Rolled the BF down 40 pts

    • Apr 15 - there was a sharp down move of -35 pts in the RUT, this volatility hit resulted in market makers taking the price out of my butterflies. As a result my absolute loss (ABS Loss) was increase to -$4000 to $ -5000
    • As a result of an increase in ABS Loss, my threshold when assessing t+0 line will be $1500 - $2000
    • Apr 15 - Sold 8 x 890 to protect t+0 upside risk
  • Apr 16 - Sold 8 x 900 to protect t+0 upside risk
  • Apr 18 - Sold 2 x 870 to protect t+0 downside risk (doesn't protect me from my MAX loss of $5000, just hanging in there to minimize my loss through adjustments + BREACHED MY MAX LOSS & KEPT ON MANAGING THE TRADE)
  • Apr 19 - Sold 2 x 910 to protect t+0 upside risk
  • Apr 22 - Sold 2 x 890 and 1 x 910 to flatten out t+0 and protect upside risk
  • Apr 23 - Sold 2 x 910 to protect t+0 upside risk
  • Apr 29 - Rolled the BF up 30 pts

    • Apr 29 - Sold 5 x 940 to protect t+0 upside risk
  • May 1 - Sold 5 x 920 to protect t+0 risk in both directions
  • May 2 - Sold 5 x 930 and 5 x 950 to protect t+0 upside risk
  • May 3 - Sold 3 x 940 and 2 x 950 to protect t+0 upside risk
  • May 7 - Sold 3 x 950 to reduce + VEGA
  • May 9 - Exited at MAX LOSS - $ 4806
Very tough trade need to review with Dave.